Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies maximizing solar insolation, and light westerly or northerly flow that limits sea-breeze cooling. This places the outcome modestly above the August climatological average of 31–32°C while remaining well below extreme heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant spread in peak values, supporting trader convergence on the 34–36°C range as resolution probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns represent the key variables that could shift the final observed high before market settlement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 11?
35°C 44%
34°C 31%
36°C 25%
37°C 8%
31°C or below
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
31%
35°C
44%
36°C
25%
37°C
8%
38°C
3%
39°C
3%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
35°C 44%
34°C 31%
36°C 25%
37°C 8%
31°C or below
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
31%
35°C
44%
36°C
25%
37°C
8%
38°C
3%
39°C
3%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies maximizing solar insolation, and light westerly or northerly flow that limits sea-breeze cooling. This places the outcome modestly above the August climatological average of 31–32°C while remaining well below extreme heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant spread in peak values, supporting trader convergence on the 34–36°C range as resolution probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns represent the key variables that could shift the final observed high before market settlement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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