Current forecasts from meteorological agencies such as the Met Office and ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 17 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity moderated by the adjacent sea. These factors position 32°C as the leading outcome with 67.5% implied probability, reflecting trader alignment with guidance showing limited potential for deviation into the 33°C range. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, while the absence of unusual synoptic patterns or heat advection supports the narrow probability distribution favoring 31–32°C over higher or lower thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 17?
32°C 73%
31°C 23%
33°C 5%
30°C 4%
$19,226 Vol.
$19,226 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
23%
32°C
73%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 73%
31°C 23%
33°C 5%
30°C 4%
$19,226 Vol.
$19,226 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
23%
32°C
73%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological agencies such as the Met Office and ensemble models converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for coastal Tel Aviv on August 17 under typical late-summer Mediterranean conditions of clear skies, light westerly winds, and moderate humidity moderated by the adjacent sea. These factors position 32°C as the leading outcome with 67.5% implied probability, reflecting trader alignment with guidance showing limited potential for deviation into the 33°C range. Historical August averages near 30–31°C provide context, while the absence of unusual synoptic patterns or heat advection supports the narrow probability distribution favoring 31–32°C over higher or lower thresholds.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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