Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major models indicate a most likely daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and modest sea-breeze moderation. These stable outlooks, with no significant recent model shifts or anomalous heat advection, position 32°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while supporting the strong showing for 31°C. Historical climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C this time of year, and the narrow spread of leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud variations that could nudge the peak across thresholds. Updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 18?
32°C 52%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
38%
32°C
52%
33°C
9%
34°C
3%
35°C
3%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 4%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 18, 2026
28°C or below
$15 Vol.
2%
29°C
$35 Vol.
3%
30°C
$83 Vol.
4%
31°C
$61 Vol.
38%
32°C
$127 Vol.
52%
33°C
$58 Vol.
9%
34°C
$70 Vol.
3%
35°C
$15 Vol.
3%
36°C
$10 Vol.
3%
37°C
$10 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major models indicate a most likely daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and modest sea-breeze moderation. These stable outlooks, with no significant recent model shifts or anomalous heat advection, position 32°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while supporting the strong showing for 31°C. Historical climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C this time of year, and the narrow spread of leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud variations that could nudge the peak across thresholds. Updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,025Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major models indicate a most likely daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and modest sea-breeze moderation. These stable outlooks, with no significant recent model shifts or anomalous heat advection, position 32°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while supporting the strong showing for 31°C. Historical climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C this time of year, and the narrow spread of leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud variations that could nudge the peak across thresholds. Updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,025Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major models indicate a most likely daily maximum of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on August 18 under typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions of abundant sunshine, light westerly flow, and modest sea-breeze moderation. These stable outlooks, with no significant recent model shifts or anomalous heat advection, position 32°C as the market leader at 51.5% implied probability while supporting the strong showing for 31°C. Historical climatology shows average highs near 30–32°C this time of year, and the narrow spread of leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in daytime boundary-layer mixing and minor cloud variations that could nudge the peak across thresholds. Updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will provide the key data releases likely to refine trader consensus ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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