Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and models referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with seasonal summer highs. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as typical August Mediterranean patterns feature highs averaging 30–32°C without strong synoptic drivers for significant deviation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 34°C or falling to 31°C or below, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and absence of heatwave signals in the latest updates. Traders appear to weight these official projections heavily given the short time to resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 70%
32°C 20%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
70%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 70%
32°C 20%
34°C 11%
31°C 2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
20%
33°C
70%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and models referenced by AccuWeather and the UK Met Office indicate a daily maximum near 32–33°C for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy conditions with seasonal summer highs. This consensus aligns with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 69.5% implied probability, as typical August Mediterranean patterns feature highs averaging 30–32°C without strong synoptic drivers for significant deviation. Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of exceeding 34°C or falling to 31°C or below, reflecting stable atmospheric conditions and absence of heatwave signals in the latest updates. Traders appear to weight these official projections heavily given the short time to resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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