Persistent summer heat driven by a strong Pacific High extending over Honshu continues to support above-normal temperatures across Tokyo, with recent JMA observations and short-range guidance showing daily maxima clustered near 30–33°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 30°C and 31°C bins because ensemble forecasts exhibit modest day-to-day variability from subtle shifts in steering flow and urban heat-island amplification, while the probability of reaching 32°C or higher hinges on whether afternoon insolation strengthens without marine-layer intrusion. Updated JMA model runs and next 48-hour guidance will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution on August 10.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 10?
31°C 33%
30°C 27%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
27%
31°C
33%
32°C
19%
33°C
6%
34°C or higher
4%
31°C 33%
30°C 27%
32°C 19%
29°C 9%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 10, 2026
24°C or below
$374 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$379 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$29 Vol.
3%
29°C
$14 Vol.
9%
30°C
$8 Vol.
27%
31°C
$52 Vol.
33%
32°C
$53 Vol.
19%
33°C
$2 Vol.
6%
34°C or higher
$20 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat driven by a strong Pacific High extending over Honshu continues to support above-normal temperatures across Tokyo, with recent JMA observations and short-range guidance showing daily maxima clustered near 30–33°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 30°C and 31°C bins because ensemble forecasts exhibit modest day-to-day variability from subtle shifts in steering flow and urban heat-island amplification, while the probability of reaching 32°C or higher hinges on whether afternoon insolation strengthens without marine-layer intrusion. Updated JMA model runs and next 48-hour guidance will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution on August 10.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$940Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat driven by a strong Pacific High extending over Honshu continues to support above-normal temperatures across Tokyo, with recent JMA observations and short-range guidance showing daily maxima clustered near 30–33°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 30°C and 31°C bins because ensemble forecasts exhibit modest day-to-day variability from subtle shifts in steering flow and urban heat-island amplification, while the probability of reaching 32°C or higher hinges on whether afternoon insolation strengthens without marine-layer intrusion. Updated JMA model runs and next 48-hour guidance will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution on August 10.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$940Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer heat driven by a strong Pacific High extending over Honshu continues to support above-normal temperatures across Tokyo, with recent JMA observations and short-range guidance showing daily maxima clustered near 30–33°C amid high humidity and limited cloud cover. Trader sentiment remains closely split between the 30°C and 31°C bins because ensemble forecasts exhibit modest day-to-day variability from subtle shifts in steering flow and urban heat-island amplification, while the probability of reaching 32°C or higher hinges on whether afternoon insolation strengthens without marine-layer intrusion. Updated JMA model runs and next 48-hour guidance will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution on August 10.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong