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icon for Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?
Heopolitika·Israel

Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?

icon for Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?
Heopolitika·Israel

Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?

$2,149,489 Vol.

Dec 30, 2025
Polymarket

$2,149,489 Vol.

Polymarket

Disyembre 31, 2026

$687,735 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria have continued amid mutual mistrust, with recent high-level meetings in Jordan and Paris focusing on de-escalation mechanisms, buffer zones, and reviving elements of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement rather than full diplomatic normalization. Syrian officials, including President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, have signaled openness to security pacts that could eventually lead to broader understandings, but they prioritize Israeli withdrawal from southern Syria, territorial integrity, and retention of claims to the Golan Heights. Israeli actions, including the August 2026 airstrike near the Turkish border and Prime Minister Netanyahu’s September visit to Mount Hermon, underscore concerns over Iranian proxies, Turkish influence, and jihadist threats, sustaining a security-first posture. These dynamics, alongside US pressure for stability, shape trader assessments of timelines for any formal relations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,149,489
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US-mediated security talks between Israel and Syria have continued amid mutual mistrust, with recent high-level meetings in Jordan and Paris focusing on de-escalation mechanisms, buffer zones, and reviving elements of the 1974 Disengagement Agreement rather than full diplomatic normalization. Syrian officials, including President Ahmed al-Sharaa and Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani, have signaled openness to security pacts that could eventually lead to broader understandings, but they prioritize Israeli withdrawal from southern Syria, territorial integrity, and retention of claims to the Golan Heights. Israeli actions, including the August 2026 airstrike near the Turkish border and Prime Minister Netanyahu’s September visit to Mount Hermon, underscore concerns over Iranian proxies, Turkish influence, and jihadist threats, sustaining a security-first posture. These dynamics, alongside US pressure for stability, shape trader assessments of timelines for any formal relations.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,149,489
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

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Oo

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Disyembre 31, 2026" sa 9%, sinusundan ng "Disyembre 31, 2025" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 9¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 9% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay naka-generate ng $2.1 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jun 2, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Isa itong wide-open market. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna para sa "Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay "Disyembre 31, 2026" sa 9% lang, na may "Disyembre 31, 2025" na malapit sa likod sa 0%. Walang outcome na may malakas na mayorya, kaya nakikita ito ng mga trader bilang highly uncertain, na maaaring magbigay ng mga kakaibang trading opportunity. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time, kaya i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para panoorin kung paano nag-e-evolve ang probabilities.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Ang Israel at Syria ay nag - normalize ng mga relasyon sa pamamagitan ng...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.