Israeli forces maintain a security buffer zone south of the Litani River in southern Lebanon following the March 2026 ground invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire initiated April 16 and extended into early May despite mutual violations like airstrikes, drone attacks, and cross-border fire. Recent Israeli airstrikes and reports of preparations to expand ground operations—coupled with Hezbollah's persistent low-tech drone threats—have eroded prospects for withdrawal, while Washington-hosted talks between Israel and Lebanon, ongoing as the truce nears expiration around May 17, hinge on Hezbollah disarmament under UN Security Council Resolution 1701 versus Lebanon's demands for full, unconditional pullout. Traders weigh these stalled diplomatic efforts and escalation risks against historical patterns of prolonged buffer zones in prior conflicts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateIsrael withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
$1,473,840 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
May 31
1%
June 30
10%
$1,473,840 Vol.
May 31
$1,207,024 Vol.
1%
June 30
$191,810 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces maintain a security buffer zone south of the Litani River in southern Lebanon following the March 2026 ground invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire initiated April 16 and extended into early May despite mutual violations like airstrikes, drone attacks, and cross-border fire. Recent Israeli airstrikes and reports of preparations to expand ground operations—coupled with Hezbollah's persistent low-tech drone threats—have eroded prospects for withdrawal, while Washington-hosted talks between Israel and Lebanon, ongoing as the truce nears expiration around May 17, hinge on Hezbollah disarmament under UN Security Council Resolution 1701 versus Lebanon's demands for full, unconditional pullout. Traders weigh these stalled diplomatic efforts and escalation risks against historical patterns of prolonged buffer zones in prior conflicts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
Volume
$1,473,840Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces maintain a security buffer zone south of the Litani River in southern Lebanon following the March 2026 ground invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire initiated April 16 and extended into early May despite mutual violations like airstrikes, drone attacks, and cross-border fire. Recent Israeli airstrikes and reports of preparations to expand ground operations—coupled with Hezbollah's persistent low-tech drone threats—have eroded prospects for withdrawal, while Washington-hosted talks between Israel and Lebanon, ongoing as the truce nears expiration around May 17, hinge on Hezbollah disarmament under UN Security Council Resolution 1701 versus Lebanon's demands for full, unconditional pullout. Traders weigh these stalled diplomatic efforts and escalation risks against historical patterns of prolonged buffer zones in prior conflicts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanon by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory, regardless of if some Lebanese territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The Shebaa Farms area is considered Israeli territory for the purposes of this market and will not be considered toward its resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,473,840Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 16, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces maintain a security buffer zone south of the Litani River in southern Lebanon following the March 2026 ground invasion targeting Hezbollah infrastructure, amid a fragile US-brokered ceasefire initiated April 16 and extended into early May despite mutual violations like airstrikes, drone attacks, and cross-border fire. Recent Israeli airstrikes and reports of preparations to expand ground operations—coupled with Hezbollah's persistent low-tech drone threats—have eroded prospects for withdrawal, while Washington-hosted talks between Israel and Lebanon, ongoing as the truce nears expiration around May 17, hinge on Hezbollah disarmament under UN Security Council Resolution 1701 versus Lebanon's demands for full, unconditional pullout. Traders weigh these stalled diplomatic efforts and escalation risks against historical patterns of prolonged buffer zones in prior conflicts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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