Recent forecast guidance from models and the South African Weather Service points to a September 10 overnight low in Cape Town most likely between 13–16°C, with trader sentiment split due to uncertainty in cloud cover, wind strength, and radiative cooling rates. Moderate southeasterly winds and increasing cloudiness expected that night could limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while any reduction in wind or clearer skies might allow minima closer to 11–12°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below at 47% versus 19°C or higher at 39%, reflecting genuine model divergence rather than a single consensus outcome. Historical September averages near 14.5°C provide baseline context, but short-term atmospheric patterns will determine the final reading resolved by official observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 10?
9°C or below 85%
19°C or higher 78%
11°C 39%
14°C 25%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
85%
10°C
22%
11°C
39%
12°C
21%
13°C
22%
14°C
25%
15°C
22%
16°C
20%
17°C
8%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
78%
9°C or below 85%
19°C or higher 78%
11°C 39%
14°C 25%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
9°C or below
$30 Vol.
85%
10°C
$30 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
21%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$25 Vol.
8%
18°C
$25 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$26 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and the South African Weather Service points to a September 10 overnight low in Cape Town most likely between 13–16°C, with trader sentiment split due to uncertainty in cloud cover, wind strength, and radiative cooling rates. Moderate southeasterly winds and increasing cloudiness expected that night could limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while any reduction in wind or clearer skies might allow minima closer to 11–12°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below at 47% versus 19°C or higher at 39%, reflecting genuine model divergence rather than a single consensus outcome. Historical September averages near 14.5°C provide baseline context, but short-term atmospheric patterns will determine the final reading resolved by official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$137Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models and the South African Weather Service points to a September 10 overnight low in Cape Town most likely between 13–16°C, with trader sentiment split due to uncertainty in cloud cover, wind strength, and radiative cooling rates. Moderate southeasterly winds and increasing cloudiness expected that night could limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while any reduction in wind or clearer skies might allow minima closer to 11–12°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below at 47% versus 19°C or higher at 39%, reflecting genuine model divergence rather than a single consensus outcome. Historical September averages near 14.5°C provide baseline context, but short-term atmospheric patterns will determine the final reading resolved by official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$137Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models and the South African Weather Service points to a September 10 overnight low in Cape Town most likely between 13–16°C, with trader sentiment split due to uncertainty in cloud cover, wind strength, and radiative cooling rates. Moderate southeasterly winds and increasing cloudiness expected that night could limit temperature drops compared to clearer conditions, while any reduction in wind or clearer skies might allow minima closer to 11–12°C. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring 9°C or below at 47% versus 19°C or higher at 39%, reflecting genuine model divergence rather than a single consensus outcome. Historical September averages near 14.5°C provide baseline context, but short-term atmospheric patterns will determine the final reading resolved by official observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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