Recent model consensus and observational data place Chengdu's overnight minimum near 21–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 22–25°C reflecting uncertainty in radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and light winds. High humidity and a 50–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms limit surface heat loss, while basin topography and urban heat island effects from the Sichuan plain can raise the floor by 1–2°C compared to rural stations. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show small differences in timing of any clearing overnight, directly separating the 21°C versus 25°C thresholds that resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Chengdu on August 29?
21°C 89%
25°C 49%
24°C 48%
22°C 47%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
89%
22°C
47%
23°C
35%
24°C
48%
25°C
49%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 89%
25°C 49%
24°C 48%
22°C 47%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
17°C or below
$151 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$34 Vol.
2%
20°C
$83 Vol.
2%
21°C
$93 Vol.
89%
22°C
$0 Vol.
47%
23°C
$0 Vol.
35%
24°C
$0 Vol.
48%
25°C
$0 Vol.
49%
26°C
$65 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$30 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational data place Chengdu's overnight minimum near 21–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 22–25°C reflecting uncertainty in radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and light winds. High humidity and a 50–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms limit surface heat loss, while basin topography and urban heat island effects from the Sichuan plain can raise the floor by 1–2°C compared to rural stations. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show small differences in timing of any clearing overnight, directly separating the 21°C versus 25°C thresholds that resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$413Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational data place Chengdu's overnight minimum near 21–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 22–25°C reflecting uncertainty in radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and light winds. High humidity and a 50–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms limit surface heat loss, while basin topography and urban heat island effects from the Sichuan plain can raise the floor by 1–2°C compared to rural stations. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show small differences in timing of any clearing overnight, directly separating the 21°C versus 25°C thresholds that resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$413Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and observational data place Chengdu's overnight minimum near 21–25°C, with trader probabilities clustered tightly around 22–25°C reflecting uncertainty in radiative cooling rates under variable cloud cover and light winds. High humidity and a 50–80% chance of showers or thunderstorms limit surface heat loss, while basin topography and urban heat island effects from the Sichuan plain can raise the floor by 1–2°C compared to rural stations. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show small differences in timing of any clearing overnight, directly separating the 21°C versus 25°C thresholds that resolve the market.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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