Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows of 20–24°C on August 30, with most models converging on 22–23°C amid partly cloudy to clearing skies after recent showers. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because subtle differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, surface humidity near 70–85%, and light winds (under 5 km/h) determine whether temperatures bottom near 20°C or hold closer to 24°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and weak steering flows limit sharp drops, while any increase in cloud cover or residual rain would suppress cooling and favor the higher outcomes currently priced at 42–48%. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and model consensus runs expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow spread before the calendar day ends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
21°C 84%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 54%
24°C 47%
18°C or below
54%
19°C
23%
20°C
43%
21°C
84%
22°C
43%
23°C
45%
24°C
47%
25°C
44%
26°C
42%
27°C
54%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 84%
18°C or below 54%
27°C 54%
24°C 47%
18°C or below
54%
19°C
23%
20°C
43%
21°C
84%
22°C
43%
23°C
45%
24°C
47%
25°C
44%
26°C
42%
27°C
54%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Chengdu indicate overnight lows of 20–24°C on August 30, with most models converging on 22–23°C amid partly cloudy to clearing skies after recent showers. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around these values because subtle differences in nocturnal radiative cooling, surface humidity near 70–85%, and light winds (under 5 km/h) determine whether temperatures bottom near 20°C or hold closer to 24°C. Persistent monsoon moisture and weak steering flows limit sharp drops, while any increase in cloud cover or residual rain would suppress cooling and favor the higher outcomes currently priced at 42–48%. Official China Meteorological Administration updates and model consensus runs expected overnight will likely resolve the narrow spread before the calendar day ends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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