Recent forecasts position the 8°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 45% implied probability because multiple models project a minimum near 9–11°C for Helsinki on September 3, below the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C. Cooler southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early-September climatology. Historical data show substantial day-to-day variability, yet current ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values with limited upside risk above 12°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 3?
15°C 50%
8°C or below 45%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
8°C or below
45%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
50%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
9%
15°C 50%
8°C or below 45%
9°C 27%
10°C 27%
8°C or below
45%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
24%
15°C
50%
16°C
8%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 1, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts position the 8°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 45% implied probability because multiple models project a minimum near 9–11°C for Helsinki on September 3, below the 1991–2020 average low of 11.3°C. Cooler southwesterly flow, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers are expected to limit daytime heating and enhance radiative cooling overnight, consistent with early-September climatology. Historical data show substantial day-to-day variability, yet current ensemble guidance clusters tightly around these values with limited upside risk above 12°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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