The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,021 Vol.
$45,021 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$45,021 Vol.
$45,021 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$728 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,016 Vol.
No
24°C
$3,412 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,985 Vol.
No
26°C
$12,027 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$8,410 Vol.
No
28°C
$4,934 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,566 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,073 Vol.
No
31°C
$430 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$442 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$45,021Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$45,021Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 15, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: Yes
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: Yes
The Hong Kong Observatory's official recording of a 26.9°C minimum air temperature at its headquarters on August 15 drove overwhelming trader consensus toward the 26°C outcome. Persistent post-Typhoon Dolphin cloud cover and showers suppressed overnight cooling, keeping readings aligned with seasonal August norms of 26–28°C rather than allowing typical radiative drops. Forecast models converged on this range days earlier, and the absence of any late-model revisions or station discrepancies left negligible room for alternative resolutions. The sole realistic challenge would require a verified data correction from the observatory itself, an event with near-zero historical precedent for daily summaries.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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