Recent model consensus and official observations from Mexico City's observatory point to a minimum of 13–15°C on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and a broad area of low pressure suppressed the typical clear-sky temperature drop, keeping overnight readings several degrees above the September climatological average low near 10°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14°C and 12°C because small differences in the exact timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts in the final model runs can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, while the 15°C outcome reflects scenarios with more continuous overcast conditions. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data and station reports anchor the close market spread.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Mexico City on September 8?
12°C 93%
13°C 9%
11°C 1.0%
8°C or below <1%
$1,867 Vol.
$1,867 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
93%
13°C
9%
14°C
51%
15°C
50%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
12°C 93%
13°C 9%
11°C 1.0%
8°C or below <1%
$1,867 Vol.
$1,867 Vol.
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
93%
13°C
9%
14°C
51%
15°C
50%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 6, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and official observations from Mexico City's observatory point to a minimum of 13–15°C on September 8, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90%, and scattered showers that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and a broad area of low pressure suppressed the typical clear-sky temperature drop, keeping overnight readings several degrees above the September climatological average low near 10°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 14°C and 12°C because small differences in the exact timing of cloud breaks or wind shifts in the final model runs can shift the recorded low by 1–2°C, while the 15°C outcome reflects scenarios with more continuous overcast conditions. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data and station reports anchor the close market spread.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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