Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Miami on July 17?
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 29%
71°F or below
28%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 49%
80-81°F 38%
78-79°F 37%
76-77°F 29%
71°F or below
28%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
29%
76-77°F
29%
78-79°F
37%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
49%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 71°F or below (40.5%) and the 78–81°F cluster reflects forecast uncertainty in overnight radiational cooling for Miami on July 17. Typical July minimums hover near 78–81°F under high humidity and subtropical maritime air, but scattered thunderstorms or variable cloud cover can either suppress cooling by trapping longwave radiation or enhance it during clearer intervals after daytime heating. Recent model runs show slight disagreements on convective timing and sea-breeze strength, which directly modulate minimum temperatures; stronger onshore flow or lingering moisture tends to keep lows elevated near 80°F while drier, clearer conditions favor the lower bins. Upcoming NHC and local WFO updates will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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