Recent forecast model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate the overnight minimum in Munich will likely settle near 11°C, driven by moderate radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limiting mixing. This aligns with the market's strong 67% implied probability for 11°C as the daily low, ahead of 10°C at 35%, reflecting trader assessment of current surface observations and ensemble guidance. Historical September averages near 10°C provide context, while the day's expected high around 21–23°C and light precipitation later support limited further cooling. Updated model outputs later today could refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Munich on September 13?
7°C or below 10%
8°C 4%
9°C 4%
12°C <1%
7°C or below
10%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
35%
11°C
67%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
7°C or below 10%
8°C 4%
9°C 4%
12°C <1%
7°C or below
10%
8°C
4%
9°C
4%
10°C
35%
11°C
67%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate the overnight minimum in Munich will likely settle near 11°C, driven by moderate radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies and light westerly winds limiting mixing. This aligns with the market's strong 67% implied probability for 11°C as the daily low, ahead of 10°C at 35%, reflecting trader assessment of current surface observations and ensemble guidance. Historical September averages near 10°C provide context, while the day's expected high around 21–23°C and light precipitation later support limited further cooling. Updated model outputs later today could refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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