Forecast models from sources including GFS data and agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on September 13 near 27°C, with afternoon peaks most likely between 26°C and 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach about 27°C as seasonal cooling begins after summer peaks near 31°C. High humidity near 70-80% and limited solar heating from morning overcast conditions constrain further warming, while weak pressure gradients reduce advection of warmer air. Numerical guidance shows tight clustering around these values, supporting the market's emphasis on 26-28°C outcomes as the highest-probability range ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
27°C 40%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
29%
27°C
40%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 29%
28°C 16%
25°C 7%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
29%
27°C
40%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including GFS data and agencies like the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum temperature in Tokyo on September 13 near 27°C, with afternoon peaks most likely between 26°C and 28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach about 27°C as seasonal cooling begins after summer peaks near 31°C. High humidity near 70-80% and limited solar heating from morning overcast conditions constrain further warming, while weak pressure gradients reduce advection of warmer air. Numerical guidance shows tight clustering around these values, supporting the market's emphasis on 26-28°C outcomes as the highest-probability range ahead of final observations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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