Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicates Tokyo’s minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall between 21°C and 22°C, with persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and elevated humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow recent rainfall and maintain temperatures above the long-term September average minimum near 19–20°C. Minor differences in cloud thickness, wind shifts, or clearing timing could tip the reading either way, creating the tight market split between the two leading outcomes. Official JMA observations, which use standardized instruments at the Tokyo station, will determine the exact daily minimum for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 13?
22°C 46%
21°C 42%
23°C 7%
19°C 5%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
42%
22°C
46%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 46%
21°C 42%
23°C 7%
19°C 5%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
5%
20°C
4%
21°C
42%
22°C
46%
23°C
7%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models indicates Tokyo’s minimum temperature on September 13 will likely fall between 21°C and 22°C, with persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and elevated humidity limiting overnight radiative cooling. These conditions follow recent rainfall and maintain temperatures above the long-term September average minimum near 19–20°C. Minor differences in cloud thickness, wind shifts, or clearing timing could tip the reading either way, creating the tight market split between the two leading outcomes. Official JMA observations, which use standardized instruments at the Tokyo station, will determine the exact daily minimum for market resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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