Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum near 26–27°C in Shenzhen on August 29, driven by elevated humidity above 90% and lingering cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling after heavy rains on the 28th. Light winds and possible scattered showers further moderate overnight temperature drops, while Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect may slightly elevate readings compared to rural baselines. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on official station data at the day’s lowest point. New forecast updates overnight could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on August 29?
25°C 46%
28°C 46%
27°C 45%
29°C 44%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
46%
26°C
42%
27°C
45%
28°C
46%
29°C
44%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 46%
28°C 46%
27°C 45%
29°C 44%
BAGO
BAGO
Aug 29, 2026
22°C or below
$5,018 Vol.
1%
23°C
$65 Vol.
9%
24°C
$105 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
46%
26°C
$0 Vol.
42%
27°C
$0 Vol.
45%
28°C
$0 Vol.
46%
29°C
$10 Vol.
44%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$68 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$138 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum near 26–27°C in Shenzhen on August 29, driven by elevated humidity above 90% and lingering cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling after heavy rains on the 28th. Light winds and possible scattered showers further moderate overnight temperature drops, while Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect may slightly elevate readings compared to rural baselines. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on official station data at the day’s lowest point. New forecast updates overnight could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,408Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum near 26–27°C in Shenzhen on August 29, driven by elevated humidity above 90% and lingering cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling after heavy rains on the 28th. Light winds and possible scattered showers further moderate overnight temperature drops, while Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect may slightly elevate readings compared to rural baselines. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on official station data at the day’s lowest point. New forecast updates overnight could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,408Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to a minimum near 26–27°C in Shenzhen on August 29, driven by elevated humidity above 90% and lingering cloud cover that restricts radiative cooling after heavy rains on the 28th. Light winds and possible scattered showers further moderate overnight temperature drops, while Shenzhen’s urban heat island effect may slightly elevate readings compared to rural baselines. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–28°C reflects genuine uncertainty in model runs regarding exact cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on official station data at the day’s lowest point. New forecast updates overnight could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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