Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from New Zealand meteorological sources point to a daily minimum of 12°C in Wellington on August 26, driven by persistent mild northwesterly airflow and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where average August lows hover near 8–10°C but recent days have trended warmer amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. Trader positioning at 91.5% implied probability reflects high confidence in this outcome given stable model runs. A shift to stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 10–11°C, though current conditions make such a drop unlikely before midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateLowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Wellington on August 26?
12°C 100.0%
9°C 1.0%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
$2,821 Vol.
$2,821 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
9°C 1.0%
10°C 1.0%
11°C 1.0%
$2,821 Vol.
$2,821 Vol.
Aug 26, 2026
8°C or below
$40 Vol.
No
9°C
$55 Vol.
No
10°C
$36 Vol.
No
11°C
$51 Vol.
No
12°C
$90 Vol.
Yes
13°C
$326 Vol.
No
14°C
$395 Vol.
No
15°C
$200 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,011 Vol.
No
17°C
$165 Vol.
No
18°C or higher
$452 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from New Zealand meteorological sources point to a daily minimum of 12°C in Wellington on August 26, driven by persistent mild northwesterly airflow and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where average August lows hover near 8–10°C but recent days have trended warmer amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. Trader positioning at 91.5% implied probability reflects high confidence in this outcome given stable model runs. A shift to stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 10–11°C, though current conditions make such a drop unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$2,821Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from New Zealand meteorological sources point to a daily minimum of 12°C in Wellington on August 26, driven by persistent mild northwesterly airflow and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where average August lows hover near 8–10°C but recent days have trended warmer amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. Trader positioning at 91.5% implied probability reflects high confidence in this outcome given stable model runs. A shift to stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 10–11°C, though current conditions make such a drop unlikely before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,821Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 26, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Na-propose ang outcome: No
Walang dispute
Pinal na outcome: No
Recent observational data and forecast model consensus from New Zealand meteorological sources point to a daily minimum of 12°C in Wellington on August 26, driven by persistent mild northwesterly airflow and cloud cover limiting overnight radiational cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for late winter, where average August lows hover near 8–10°C but recent days have trended warmer amid above-average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman Sea. Trader positioning at 91.5% implied probability reflects high confidence in this outcome given stable model runs. A shift to stronger southerly winds or clearer skies could enhance cooling and push the minimum to 10–11°C, though current conditions make such a drop unlikely before midnight.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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