Democrat Zack Mullock secured a narrow victory over incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew in New Jersey’s 2nd Congressional District on November 3, 2026, prompting Van Drew’s concession that evening with Mullock ahead by roughly three points. The outcome reflected a broader Democratic surge in the midterm elections, including stronger early and mail voting margins for Democrats across the district and national headwinds tied to President Trump’s second term. Mullock, Cape May mayor, emphasized affordability, coastal issues, and Van Drew’s alignment with the administration, bolstered by late-cycle super PAC spending. With most votes counted and certification pending only routine remaining ballots, trader consensus at near-certainty for Mullock aligns with the confirmed results. Shifts remain theoretically possible only through extraordinarily large discrepancies in outstanding counts or successful legal challenges, both considered remote.