New York’s 12th congressional district maintains a D+33 partisan voting index, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House contests that shapes the market’s 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. The open seat created by retiring Representative Jerry Nadler has sparked a competitive Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. No credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the outcome, consistent with the district’s Manhattan-based electorate and historical margins exceeding 60 points. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail in November 2026 unless an extraordinary late development, such as a major scandal or unanticipated turnout surge, alters the baseline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNY-12 House Election Winner
NY-12 House Election Winner
$17,171 Vol.
$17,171 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,171 Vol.
$17,171 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,681 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$2,490 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 12th congressional district maintains a D+33 partisan voting index, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House contests that shapes the market’s 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. The open seat created by retiring Representative Jerry Nadler has sparked a competitive Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. No credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the outcome, consistent with the district’s Manhattan-based electorate and historical margins exceeding 60 points. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail in November 2026 unless an extraordinary late development, such as a major scandal or unanticipated turnout surge, alters the baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$17,171Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 12th congressional district maintains a D+33 partisan voting index, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House contests that shapes the market’s 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. The open seat created by retiring Representative Jerry Nadler has sparked a competitive Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. No credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the outcome, consistent with the district’s Manhattan-based electorate and historical margins exceeding 60 points. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail in November 2026 unless an extraordinary late development, such as a major scandal or unanticipated turnout surge, alters the baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,171Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Nov 3, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 12th congressional district maintains a D+33 partisan voting index, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in recent presidential and House contests that shapes the market’s 93.5 percent consensus for a Democratic winner. The open seat created by retiring Representative Jerry Nadler has sparked a competitive Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election as solid or safe Democratic. No credible Republican candidate has emerged to contest the outcome, consistent with the district’s Manhattan-based electorate and historical margins exceeding 60 points. A Democratic nominee is expected to prevail in November 2026 unless an extraordinary late development, such as a major scandal or unanticipated turnout surge, alters the baseline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong