New York’s 13th congressional district carries a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+32 partisan voter index and repeated double-digit margins in prior cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and name recognition heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier. No viable Republican candidate has surfaced for the November general election, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A primary upset or significant scandal surrounding the eventual nominee remain the only developments that could realistically reopen competition in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx seat.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateNY-13 House Election Winner
$29,736 Vol.
$29,736 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$29,736 Vol.
$29,736 Vol.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 13th congressional district carries a pronounced Democratic structural advantage, driven by its D+32 partisan voter index and repeated double-digit margins in prior cycles. Incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat holds superior fundraising, labor and party endorsements, and name recognition heading into the June 23 Democratic primary against challengers including Darializa Avila Chevalier. No viable Republican candidate has surfaced for the November general election, anchoring trader consensus around a Democratic outcome. A primary upset or significant scandal surrounding the eventual nominee remain the only developments that could realistically reopen competition in this Upper Manhattan and Bronx seat.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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