Google leads market-implied odds for second place in Text Arena's math subcategory at end of August, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro's repeated top-three finishes across LiveBench Mathematics, FrontierMath proxies, and Arena math votes, where it trails only select Claude variants but outperforms OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family in several head-to-head evaluations. Recent DeepSeek V4-Pro and Qwen 3.7 Max releases have lifted Chinese labs like Alibaba into contention for mid-tier spots, yet they remain behind Google's established reasoning edge on competition-style problems. With resolution days away, traders appear to view Google's benchmark consistency and lack of major recent slips as the decisive factor over more volatile OpenAI and Anthropic contenders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
Google 74%
Alibaba 18.3%
Anthropic 3.1%
Meta 1.1%
$68,568 Vol.
$68,568 Vol.

74%

Alibaba
18%

Anthropic
3%

Meta
1%

Z.ai
1%

DeepSeek
1%

OpenAI
6%

ByteDance
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Google 74%
Alibaba 18.3%
Anthropic 3.1%
Meta 1.1%
$68,568 Vol.
$68,568 Vol.

74%

Alibaba
18%

Anthropic
3%

Meta
1%

Z.ai
1%

DeepSeek
1%

OpenAI
6%

ByteDance
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolution Source
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google leads market-implied odds for second place in Text Arena's math subcategory at end of August, driven by Gemini 3.1 Pro's repeated top-three finishes across LiveBench Mathematics, FrontierMath proxies, and Arena math votes, where it trails only select Claude variants but outperforms OpenAI's GPT-5.6 family in several head-to-head evaluations. Recent DeepSeek V4-Pro and Qwen 3.7 Max releases have lifted Chinese labs like Alibaba into contention for mid-tier spots, yet they remain behind Google's established reasoning edge on competition-style problems. With resolution days away, traders appear to view Google's benchmark consistency and lack of major recent slips as the decisive factor over more volatile OpenAI and Anthropic contenders.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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