**Strong word-of-mouth and minimal competition position the 140-150 million range as the clear market favorite for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's second weekend.** The film launched to a record $360 million domestic opening—the biggest ever—topping Avengers: Endgame while crossing $1 billion worldwide in just six days and becoming 2026's highest-grossing title within a week. Excellent critical and audience reception (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes), plus the addition of IMAX screens this frame, support expectations of a solid hold despite the August timing that historically produces steeper drops than holiday releases. Precursor comparisons to Endgame's $147 million sophomore frame and current tracking in the low-to-mid 150s align with the 68% implied probability on 140-150 million, while the smaller probabilities on 130-140 million and higher brackets reflect modest uncertainty around exact percentage decline and premium-format uplift.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
140-150m 68%
130-140m 22.4%
150-160m 10%
160-170m 1.6%
$61,803 Vol.
$61,803 Vol.
<130m
1%
130-140m
22%
140-150m
68%
150-160m
10%
160-170m
2%
170-180m
<1%
180m+
<1%
140-150m 68%
130-140m 22.4%
150-160m 10%
160-170m 1.6%
$61,803 Vol.
$61,803 Vol.
<130m
1%
130-140m
22%
140-150m
68%
150-160m
10%
160-170m
2%
170-180m
<1%
180m+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 5, 2026, 8:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong word-of-mouth and minimal competition position the 140-150 million range as the clear market favorite for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's second weekend.** The film launched to a record $360 million domestic opening—the biggest ever—topping Avengers: Endgame while crossing $1 billion worldwide in just six days and becoming 2026's highest-grossing title within a week. Excellent critical and audience reception (around 90% on Rotten Tomatoes), plus the addition of IMAX screens this frame, support expectations of a solid hold despite the August timing that historically produces steeper drops than holiday releases. Precursor comparisons to Endgame's $147 million sophomore frame and current tracking in the low-to-mid 150s align with the 68% implied probability on 140-150 million, while the smaller probabilities on 130-140 million and higher brackets reflect modest uncertainty around exact percentage decline and premium-format uplift.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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