Recent mixed critical reception and modest tracking have kept trader sentiment tightly clustered around mid-single-digit to low-double-digit openings for the Will Gluck-directed romantic comedy *One Night Only*. Forecasts from industry analysts place the August 7 wide release in an $8–12 million range, echoing the director’s prior sleeper *Anyone But You* that overcame a soft start through word-of-mouth. Key swing factors include presales in roughly 3,000 theaters, competition from *Super Troopers 3*, and audience appetite for high-concept rom-coms amid a challenging summer marketplace. The film’s premiere just days earlier and early reviews highlighting strong lead chemistry but uneven execution further underscore the uncertainty reflected in the market’s near-even probabilities.