**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, the largest debut ever, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, strong 90% critic scores, and 98% audience approval. Its first-week domestic haul reached roughly $482 million, already positioning it as 2026’s top earner with legs that support continued strong holds through August. Traders assign 76% implied probability to a $900 million+ finish by month-end because the massive start and positive word-of-mouth mirror or exceed *No Way Home*’s trajectory, while typical post-opening drops for event films still leave ample runway before August 31.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by August 31?
900m+ 76.2%
800 - 900m 24%
700 - 800m <1%
600 - 700m <1%
$373,163 Vol.
$373,163 Vol.
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
1%
800 - 900m
24%
900m+
76%
900m+ 76.2%
800 - 900m 24%
700 - 800m <1%
600 - 700m <1%
$373,163 Vol.
$373,163 Vol.
<400m
<1%
400 - 500m
<1%
500 - 600m
<1%
600 - 700m
<1%
700 - 800m
1%
800 - 900m
24%
900m+
76%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 17, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including August 31, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** opened to a record $360 million domestic weekend on July 31, the largest debut ever, fueled by Tom Holland and Zendaya’s star power, strong 90% critic scores, and 98% audience approval. Its first-week domestic haul reached roughly $482 million, already positioning it as 2026’s top earner with legs that support continued strong holds through August. Traders assign 76% implied probability to a $900 million+ finish by month-end because the massive start and positive word-of-mouth mirror or exceed *No Way Home*’s trajectory, while typical post-opening drops for event films still leave ample runway before August 31.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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