Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid August 25, 2026, show exceptional (D4) conditions limited to roughly 1.5% of the contiguous United States, concentrated in northeastern Idaho, parts of Oregon, western Nebraska, Colorado, and small pockets of the southern Plains. Persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures have intensified soil-moisture deficits and expanded D3-D4 areas across the northern Rockies and central Plains, while North American monsoon convection has eased conditions in parts of the Southwest. The next USDM map, based on conditions through early September and scheduled for release around September 3-4, will determine state-level D4 presence for the target week; short-term precipitation and temperature forecasts from NOAA will be the primary near-term drivers of any further degradation or improvement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateExceptional drought (D4) by state — week of September 1, 2026
$19,091 Vol.

Alabama
2%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
92%

California
5%

Colorado
98%

Delaware
38%

Florida
12%

Georgia
6%

Idaho
87%

Illinois
38%

Indiana
38%

Iowa
2%

Kansas
3%

Kentucky
27%

Louisiana
3%

Maryland
25%

Minnesota
8%

Mississippi
82%

Missouri
3%

Montana
4%

Nebraska
94%

Nevada
73%

New Jersey
4%

New Mexico
94%

North Carolina
73%

North Dakota
7%

Ohio
27%

Oklahoma
97%

Oregon
94%

Pennsylvania
2%

South Carolina
9%

South Dakota
7%

Tennessee
3%

Texas
97%

Utah
57%

Virginia
4%

Washington
9%

West Virginia
3%

Wisconsin
10%

Wyoming
13%
$19,091 Vol.

Alabama
2%

Arizona
4%

Arkansas
92%

California
5%

Colorado
98%

Delaware
38%

Florida
12%

Georgia
6%

Idaho
87%

Illinois
38%

Indiana
38%

Iowa
2%

Kansas
3%

Kentucky
27%

Louisiana
3%

Maryland
25%

Minnesota
8%

Mississippi
82%

Missouri
3%

Montana
4%

Nebraska
94%

Nevada
73%

New Jersey
4%

New Mexico
94%

North Carolina
73%

North Dakota
7%

Ohio
27%

Oklahoma
97%

Oregon
94%

Pennsylvania
2%

South Carolina
9%

South Dakota
7%

Tennessee
3%

Texas
97%

Utah
57%

Virginia
4%

Washington
9%

West Virginia
3%

Wisconsin
10%

Wyoming
13%
D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 1, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 27, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No".
Alabama carries a market in May through November, so this market exists for the week valid September 1, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Alabama market and make no claim about Alabama's drought.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Resolution Source
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. Drought Monitor data valid August 25, 2026, show exceptional (D4) conditions limited to roughly 1.5% of the contiguous United States, concentrated in northeastern Idaho, parts of Oregon, western Nebraska, Colorado, and small pockets of the southern Plains. Persistent high-pressure ridging and above-normal temperatures have intensified soil-moisture deficits and expanded D3-D4 areas across the northern Rockies and central Plains, while North American monsoon convection has eased conditions in parts of the Southwest. The next USDM map, based on conditions through early September and scheduled for release around September 3-4, will determine state-level D4 presence for the target week; short-term precipitation and temperature forecasts from NOAA will be the primary near-term drivers of any further degradation or improvement.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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