**Recent flash drought intensification across the south-central U.S., northern Plains, and parts of the Upper Midwest has expanded areas of extreme and exceptional (D4) drought.** Above-normal temperatures have elevated evapotranspiration rates while precipitation deficits have rapidly depleted soil moisture, pushing conditions into D4 in states such as New Mexico, Idaho, Nebraska, Nevada, Arkansas, Mississippi, Utah, and North Carolina according to the U.S. Drought Monitor data valid September 1, 2026. Scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming, but degradations dominated elsewhere, with 1.4–1.7% of the contiguous U.S. now in D4. The next USDM update, reflecting conditions through early September, will determine the exact state count for the week of September 8; short-term rainfall forecasts and model consensus on steering patterns remain the key variables that could shift D4 coverage before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this near-term uncertainty around the current multi-state footprint.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHow many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
How many states will be in D4 (Exceptional Drought) — week of September 8, 2026?
10 or more states 59%
0 states 36%
3-4 states 35%
1-2 states 34%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
36%
1-2 states
34%
3-4 states
35%
5-6 states
34%
7-9 states
34%
10 or more states
59%
10 or more states 59%
0 states 36%
3-4 states 35%
1-2 states 34%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 10, 2026
0 states
$0 Vol.
36%
1-2 states
$0 Vol.
34%
3-4 states
$0 Vol.
35%
5-6 states
$0 Vol.
34%
7-9 states
$0 Vol.
34%
10 or more states
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Recent flash drought intensification across the south-central U.S., northern Plains, and parts of the Upper Midwest has expanded areas of extreme and exceptional (D4) drought.** Above-normal temperatures have elevated evapotranspiration rates while precipitation deficits have rapidly depleted soil moisture, pushing conditions into D4 in states such as New Mexico, Idaho, Nebraska, Nevada, Arkansas, Mississippi, Utah, and North Carolina according to the U.S. Drought Monitor data valid September 1, 2026. Scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming, but degradations dominated elsewhere, with 1.4–1.7% of the contiguous U.S. now in D4. The next USDM update, reflecting conditions through early September, will determine the exact state count for the week of September 8; short-term rainfall forecasts and model consensus on steering patterns remain the key variables that could shift D4 coverage before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this near-term uncertainty around the current multi-state footprint.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ET
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.**Recent flash drought intensification across the south-central U.S., northern Plains, and parts of the Upper Midwest has expanded areas of extreme and exceptional (D4) drought.** Above-normal temperatures have elevated evapotranspiration rates while precipitation deficits have rapidly depleted soil moisture, pushing conditions into D4 in states such as New Mexico, Idaho, Nebraska, Nevada, Arkansas, Mississippi, Utah, and North Carolina according to the U.S. Drought Monitor data valid September 1, 2026. Scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming, but degradations dominated elsewhere, with 1.4–1.7% of the contiguous U.S. now in D4. The next USDM update, reflecting conditions through early September, will determine the exact state count for the week of September 8; short-term rainfall forecasts and model consensus on steering patterns remain the key variables that could shift D4 coverage before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this near-term uncertainty around the current multi-state footprint.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the number of coterminous US states (out of 48) with D4 percent area of 0.05% or more in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of September 8, 2026.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Brackets: 0 / 1-2 / 3-4 / 5-6 / 7-9 / 10+. Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
The count ranges over all 48 coterminous states — the 48 states excluding Alaska and Hawaii. The District of Columbia and U.S. territories are not considered.
Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday.
Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. Subsequent revisions will not be considered; the first published release is final.
The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
Volume
$0Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 10, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 3, 2026, 9:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/DmData/DataTables.aspxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent flash drought intensification across the south-central U.S., northern Plains, and parts of the Upper Midwest has expanded areas of extreme and exceptional (D4) drought.** Above-normal temperatures have elevated evapotranspiration rates while precipitation deficits have rapidly depleted soil moisture, pushing conditions into D4 in states such as New Mexico, Idaho, Nebraska, Nevada, Arkansas, Mississippi, Utah, and North Carolina according to the U.S. Drought Monitor data valid September 1, 2026. Scattered improvements occurred in Colorado and Wyoming, but degradations dominated elsewhere, with 1.4–1.7% of the contiguous U.S. now in D4. The next USDM update, reflecting conditions through early September, will determine the exact state count for the week of September 8; short-term rainfall forecasts and model consensus on steering patterns remain the key variables that could shift D4 coverage before resolution. Trader sentiment reflects this near-term uncertainty around the current multi-state footprint.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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