Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple surveys from early June showing figures clustered near 37-40 percent amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict and its economic fallout. Traders see limited near-term movement before June 12 because no major new policy announcements, diplomatic breakthroughs, or economic data releases have shifted sentiment sharply in the past week. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and cost-of-living trends continues to anchor ratings at these levels, while the absence of offsetting positive developments keeps the two leading outcome ranges closely matched and sensitive to any last-minute polling fluctuations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update38.5–38.9 51%
38.0–38.4 44%
39.0–39.4 11%
<38.0 3.0%
<38.0
3%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
53%
39.0–39.4
12%
39.5–39.9
3%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 51%
38.0–38.4 44%
39.0–39.4 11%
<38.0 3.0%
<38.0
3%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
53%
39.0–39.4
12%
39.5–39.9
3%
40.0+
<1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump’s job approval in the upper 30s to low 40s, with multiple surveys from early June showing figures clustered near 37-40 percent amid sustained public concern over the Iran conflict and its economic fallout. Traders see limited near-term movement before June 12 because no major new policy announcements, diplomatic breakthroughs, or economic data releases have shifted sentiment sharply in the past week. Persistent dissatisfaction with inflation, gas prices, and cost-of-living trends continues to anchor ratings at these levels, while the absence of offsetting positive developments keeps the two leading outcome ranges closely matched and sensitive to any last-minute polling fluctuations.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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