Traders assign Anthropic a commanding 71.2% implied probability for fielding the strongest large language model by the end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos preview have posted leading results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and advanced reasoning evaluations. These releases, paired with expanded 1-million-token context handling and demonstrated vulnerability discovery in controlled testing, have strengthened the company’s edge in enterprise-grade performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 launch in late April narrowed some gaps on general-purpose tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 updates improved speed and multimodal capabilities, yet neither has displaced Anthropic’s current lead in the metrics most relevant to frontier-model assessments. With roughly six weeks remaining, any further benchmark gains or capability demonstrations from Anthropic could solidify its position before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateAling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Hunyo?
Aling kumpanya ang may pinakamahusay na modelo ng AI sa katapusan ng Hunyo?
Anthropic 71.2%
Google 21%
OpenAI 7%
xAI 1.0%
$6,013,829 Vol.
$6,013,829 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
71%
21%
OpenAI
7%
xAI
1%
Meta
1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Anthropic 71.2%
Google 21%
OpenAI 7%
xAI 1.0%
$6,013,829 Vol.
$6,013,829 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic
$846,005 Vol.
71%
$549,750 Vol.
21%
OpenAI
$343,765 Vol.
7%
xAI
$1,067,771 Vol.
1%
Meta
$137,000 Vol.
1%
DeepSeek
$504,511 Vol.
<1%
Amazon
$163,559 Vol.
<1%
Z.ai
$303,598 Vol.
<1%
Mistral
$483,628 Vol.
<1%
Microsoft
$156,712 Vol.
<1%
ByteDance
$160,180 Vol.
<1%
Alibaba
$383,411 Vol.
<1%
Moonshot
$364,387 Vol.
<1%
Meituan
$383,490 Vol.
<1%
Baidu
$166,063 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic a commanding 71.2% implied probability for fielding the strongest large language model by the end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos preview have posted leading results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and advanced reasoning evaluations. These releases, paired with expanded 1-million-token context handling and demonstrated vulnerability discovery in controlled testing, have strengthened the company’s edge in enterprise-grade performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 launch in late April narrowed some gaps on general-purpose tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 updates improved speed and multimodal capabilities, yet neither has displaced Anthropic’s current lead in the metrics most relevant to frontier-model assessments. With roughly six weeks remaining, any further benchmark gains or capability demonstrations from Anthropic could solidify its position before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Binuksan ang Market: Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ET
Volume
$6,013,829Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders assign Anthropic a commanding 71.2% implied probability for fielding the strongest large language model by the end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos preview have posted leading results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and advanced reasoning evaluations. These releases, paired with expanded 1-million-token context handling and demonstrated vulnerability discovery in controlled testing, have strengthened the company’s edge in enterprise-grade performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 launch in late April narrowed some gaps on general-purpose tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 updates improved speed and multimodal capabilities, yet neither has displaced Anthropic’s current lead in the metrics most relevant to frontier-model assessments. With roughly six weeks remaining, any further benchmark gains or capability demonstrations from Anthropic could solidify its position before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Volume
$6,013,829Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Oct 10, 2025, 5:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign Anthropic a commanding 71.2% implied probability for fielding the strongest large language model by the end of June because its Claude Opus 4.7 and Mythos preview have posted leading results on agentic coding benchmarks such as SWE-bench and advanced reasoning evaluations. These releases, paired with expanded 1-million-token context handling and demonstrated vulnerability discovery in controlled testing, have strengthened the company’s edge in enterprise-grade performance. OpenAI’s GPT-5.5 launch in late April narrowed some gaps on general-purpose tasks, while Google’s Gemini 3.1 updates improved speed and multimodal capabilities, yet neither has displaced Anthropic’s current lead in the metrics most relevant to frontier-model assessments. With roughly six weeks remaining, any further benchmark gains or capability demonstrations from Anthropic could solidify its position before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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