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icon for AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

icon for AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

93% шанс
Polymarket

$50,534 Обс.

93% шанс
Polymarket

$50,534 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent local victories have driven the strong trader consensus behind the 92.5% implied probability for a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing before 2027. More than 100 jurisdictions have enacted pauses targeting high-power facilities amid widespread backlash over grid strain, rising energy costs, and environmental impacts, with fresh examples including Manitowoc County’s 18-month ban and Durham’s 60-day restriction. Federal legislation from Senators Sanders and Representative Ocasio-Cortez, alongside state proposals in over a dozen places, has amplified the narrative of unchecked AI infrastructure growth. While vetoes like Maine’s and potential court challenges could delay broader action, the proliferation of qualifying local measures keeps the market firmly tilted toward Yes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$50,534
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent local victories have driven the strong trader consensus behind the 92.5% implied probability for a qualifying AI data center moratorium passing before 2027. More than 100 jurisdictions have enacted pauses targeting high-power facilities amid widespread backlash over grid strain, rising energy costs, and environmental impacts, with fresh examples including Manitowoc County’s 18-month ban and Durham’s 60-day restriction. Federal legislation from Senators Sanders and Representative Ocasio-Cortez, alongside state proposals in over a dozen places, has amplified the narrative of unchecked AI infrastructure growth. While vetoes like Maine’s and potential court challenges could delay broader action, the proliferation of qualifying local measures keeps the market firmly tilted toward Yes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify.

The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$50,534
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 17, 2025, 6:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a bill erecting a qualifying moratorium that prohibits or suspends approvals for new AI data center construction or major expansions anywhere in the United States is passed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying moratorium go into effect against the construction of any facility described in the legal text as an AI data center, AI compute facility, AI training/inference data center, or similar. Any moratorium that applies to all “data centers” will also qualify. The signing of such a bill will qualify regardless of the date such a moratorium actually comes into effect, or whether an injunction is put into place against qualifying legislation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 93% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 93¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 93%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?» згенерував $50.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 17, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?» — 93% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 93% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.