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icon for Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

icon for Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

36% шанс
Polymarket

$68,293 Обс.

36% шанс
Polymarket

$68,293 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, effective for tax year 2026, remains in place with limited congressional momentum for full repeal by December 31, 2026. Bipartisan legislation such as the FULL HOUSE Act has been introduced to restore 100% deductibility, yet procedural blocks in the House Rules Committee and Republican emphasis on the provision's $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations have stalled progress. Recent appeals from gaming industry figures, including UFC CEO Dana White urging presidential intervention, highlight ongoing pressure from affected sectors but have not produced floor votes or inclusion in must-pass measures. Traders view the short remaining timeline, divided Congress, and competing fiscal priorities as significant barriers to enactment before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.

Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$68,293
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions under the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, effective for tax year 2026, remains in place with limited congressional momentum for full repeal by December 31, 2026. Bipartisan legislation such as the FULL HOUSE Act has been introduced to restore 100% deductibility, yet procedural blocks in the House Rules Committee and Republican emphasis on the provision's $1.1 billion revenue offset amid debt-ceiling and appropriations negotiations have stalled progress. Recent appeals from gaming industry figures, including UFC CEO Dana White urging presidential intervention, highlight ongoing pressure from affected sectors but have not produced floor votes or inclusion in must-pass measures. Traders view the short remaining timeline, divided Congress, and competing fiscal priorities as significant barriers to enactment before 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.

Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$68,293
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%. Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 36% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 36¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 36%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?» згенерував $68.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 5, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?» — 36% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 36% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.