Trader consensus prices a 92.5% chance that President Trump will not cut the statutory corporate tax rate below its current 21% level before 2027, reflecting the absence of congressional action on his repeated calls for a further reduction to 15%. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025 via reconciliation, permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual provisions, renewed 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing for businesses, and boosted pass-through deductions, but left the corporate rate unchanged—leading to an 8% drop in April 2026 corporate receipts amid widening deficits. With 2026 midterms looming in November potentially flipping House or Senate control, fiscal pressures from OBBBA's $4 trillion revenue loss over a decade, and no active Ways and Means or Senate Finance bill advancing a rate cut, traders see slim odds of passage in the remaining lame-duck window despite Trump's State of the Union push for additional relief.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$15,673 Обс.
$15,673 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$15,673 Обс.
$15,673 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trader consensus prices a 92.5% chance that President Trump will not cut the statutory corporate tax rate below its current 21% level before 2027, reflecting the absence of congressional action on his repeated calls for a further reduction to 15%. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025 via reconciliation, permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual provisions, renewed 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing for businesses, and boosted pass-through deductions, but left the corporate rate unchanged—leading to an 8% drop in April 2026 corporate receipts amid widening deficits. With 2026 midterms looming in November potentially flipping House or Senate control, fiscal pressures from OBBBA's $4 trillion revenue loss over a decade, and no active Ways and Means or Senate Finance bill advancing a rate cut, traders see slim odds of passage in the remaining lame-duck window despite Trump's State of the Union push for additional relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,673Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trader consensus prices a 92.5% chance that President Trump will not cut the statutory corporate tax rate below its current 21% level before 2027, reflecting the absence of congressional action on his repeated calls for a further reduction to 15%. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025 via reconciliation, permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual provisions, renewed 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing for businesses, and boosted pass-through deductions, but left the corporate rate unchanged—leading to an 8% drop in April 2026 corporate receipts amid widening deficits. With 2026 midterms looming in November potentially flipping House or Senate control, fiscal pressures from OBBBA's $4 trillion revenue loss over a decade, and no active Ways and Means or Senate Finance bill advancing a rate cut, traders see slim odds of passage in the remaining lame-duck window despite Trump's State of the Union push for additional relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Обсяг
$15,673Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 92.5% chance that President Trump will not cut the statutory corporate tax rate below its current 21% level before 2027, reflecting the absence of congressional action on his repeated calls for a further reduction to 15%. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed in July 2025 via reconciliation, permanently extended 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act individual provisions, renewed 100% bonus depreciation and R&D expensing for businesses, and boosted pass-through deductions, but left the corporate rate unchanged—leading to an 8% drop in April 2026 corporate receipts amid widening deficits. With 2026 midterms looming in November potentially flipping House or Senate control, fiscal pressures from OBBBA's $4 trillion revenue loss over a decade, and no active Ways and Means or Senate Finance bill advancing a rate cut, traders see slim odds of passage in the remaining lame-duck window despite Trump's State of the Union push for additional relief.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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