**The high probability assigned to “No” reflects the absence of any new legislation reducing the statutory corporate income tax rate below its current 21 percent level since the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) was enacted in July 2025.** That reconciliation measure permanently extended and expanded several TCJA-era business provisions—such as 100 percent bonus depreciation, full R&D expensing, and the EBITDA-based interest deduction—but left the headline corporate rate unchanged. With roughly four months remaining in 2026 and Congress focused on other fiscal and appropriations matters, no additional rate-reduction bill has advanced through committee or reached the floor. Traders therefore view the window for enacting a further statutory cut before the end of 2026 as extremely narrow, producing the current 94 percent implied probability that the rate will remain at 21 percent through 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено6% шанс
$15,994 Обс.
$15,994 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
6% шанс
$15,994 Обс.
$15,994 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**The high probability assigned to “No” reflects the absence of any new legislation reducing the statutory corporate income tax rate below its current 21 percent level since the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) was enacted in July 2025.** That reconciliation measure permanently extended and expanded several TCJA-era business provisions—such as 100 percent bonus depreciation, full R&D expensing, and the EBITDA-based interest deduction—but left the headline corporate rate unchanged.
With roughly four months remaining in 2026 and Congress focused on other fiscal and appropriations matters, no additional rate-reduction bill has advanced through committee or reached the floor. Traders therefore view the window for enacting a further statutory cut before the end of 2026 as extremely narrow, producing the current 94 percent implied probability that the rate will remain at 21 percent through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,994Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
**The high probability assigned to “No” reflects the absence of any new legislation reducing the statutory corporate income tax rate below its current 21 percent level since the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) was enacted in July 2025.** That reconciliation measure permanently extended and expanded several TCJA-era business provisions—such as 100 percent bonus depreciation, full R&D expensing, and the EBITDA-based interest deduction—but left the headline corporate rate unchanged.
With roughly four months remaining in 2026 and Congress focused on other fiscal and appropriations matters, no additional rate-reduction bill has advanced through committee or reached the floor. Traders therefore view the window for enacting a further statutory cut before the end of 2026 as extremely narrow, producing the current 94 percent implied probability that the rate will remain at 21 percent through 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Обсяг
$15,994Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The high probability assigned to “No” reflects the absence of any new legislation reducing the statutory corporate income tax rate below its current 21 percent level since the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) was enacted in July 2025.** That reconciliation measure permanently extended and expanded several TCJA-era business provisions—such as 100 percent bonus depreciation, full R&D expensing, and the EBITDA-based interest deduction—but left the headline corporate rate unchanged. With roughly four months remaining in 2026 and Congress focused on other fiscal and appropriations matters, no additional rate-reduction bill has advanced through committee or reached the floor. Traders therefore view the window for enacting a further statutory cut before the end of 2026 as extremely narrow, producing the current 94 percent implied probability that the rate will remain at 21 percent through 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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