Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,016,811 Обс.
$2,016,811 Обс.
May 16, 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$2,016,811 Обс.
$2,016,811 Обс.
May 16, 2026
<40
$211,695 Обс.
No
40-64
$325,845 Обс.
No
65-89
$279,228 Обс.
Yes
90-114
$412,743 Обс.
No
115-139
$304,652 Обс.
No
140-164
$223,875 Обс.
No
165-189
$81,234 Обс.
No
190-214
$97,631 Обс.
No
215-239
$34,198 Обс.
No
240+
$45,709 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,016,811Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 14 12:00 PM ET to May 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$2,016,811Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Elon Musk's established posting rhythm on X has anchored the 65-89 tweet range as the dominant market outcome for May 14-16, reflecting his typical daily average of low-to-mid-20s posts without any major announcement or controversy sparking a surge. Traders are pricing in steady engagement patterns observed across similar short windows, where routine commentary and interactions rarely push totals much higher. With no high-profile product launches or viral moments materializing in the window, activity has stayed within historical norms rather than escalating into the upper brackets. A shift toward 90+ would need an unexpected flurry driven by breaking news or rapid-fire replies, though current platform metrics show little sign of that acceleration.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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