Recent diplomatic signals between the United States and Iran remain sparse ahead of the June 30 deadline, sustaining the tight contest between "No Meeting by June 30" at 47.8 percent and Pakistan at 42.8 percent. Trader consensus reflects the lack of official announcements or confirmed invitations from either government, consistent with patterns where indirect contacts often occur in regional or neutral venues without prior public disclosure. Ongoing regional security dynamics and the absence of new high-level overtures in recent weeks continue to balance probabilities across potential hosts, while any verified scheduling or venue confirmation could rapidly adjust positioning ahead of the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоДе відбудеться наступна дипломатична зустріч США та Ірану?
Жодної зустрічі до 30 червня 47.7%
Пакистан 42.6%
Інше 2.8%
Швейцарія 2.4%
$6,413,723 Обс.
$6,413,723 Обс.
Жодної зустрічі до 30 червня
48%
Пакистан
43%
Інше
3%
Швейцарія
2%
Оман
2%
Катар
1%
Австрія
1%
США
<1%
Єгипет
<1%
Росія
<1%
Туреччина
<1%
Ірак
<1%
Інше – Європа
<1%
Італія
<1%
Іран
<1%
Інше - Близький Схід/Північна Африка
<1%
Саудівська Аравія
<1%
ОАЕ
<1%
Казахстан
<1%
Жодної зустрічі до 30 червня 47.7%
Пакистан 42.6%
Інше 2.8%
Швейцарія 2.4%
$6,413,723 Обс.
$6,413,723 Обс.
Жодної зустрічі до 30 червня
48%
Пакистан
43%
Інше
3%
Швейцарія
2%
Оман
2%
Катар
1%
Австрія
1%
США
<1%
Єгипет
<1%
Росія
<1%
Туреччина
<1%
Ірак
<1%
Інше – Європа
<1%
Італія
<1%
Іран
<1%
Інше - Близький Схід/Північна Африка
<1%
Саудівська Аравія
<1%
ОАЕ
<1%
Казахстан
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 12, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent diplomatic signals between the United States and Iran remain sparse ahead of the June 30 deadline, sustaining the tight contest between "No Meeting by June 30" at 47.8 percent and Pakistan at 42.8 percent. Trader consensus reflects the lack of official announcements or confirmed invitations from either government, consistent with patterns where indirect contacts often occur in regional or neutral venues without prior public disclosure. Ongoing regional security dynamics and the absence of new high-level overtures in recent weeks continue to balance probabilities across potential hosts, while any verified scheduling or venue confirmation could rapidly adjust positioning ahead of the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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