The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 established a permanent 90% cap on deductible gambling losses against winnings beginning with tax year 2026, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying to returns filed in 2027. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association continue to advocate for restoration of full deductibility through measures such as the FAIR Bet Act, yet introduced repeal bills have encountered procedural delays and failed to advance in the current Congress. With the legislative calendar constrained and no major floor votes or bipartisan breakthroughs recorded in recent months, traders assess limited prospects for enactment before the 2027 filing season, consistent with the 83% implied probability on No.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено19% шанс
$71,073 Обс.
$71,073 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
19% шанс
$71,073 Обс.
$71,073 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 established a permanent 90% cap on deductible gambling losses against winnings beginning with tax year 2026, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying to returns filed in 2027. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association continue to advocate for restoration of full deductibility through measures such as the FAIR Bet Act, yet introduced repeal bills have encountered procedural delays and failed to advance in the current Congress. With the legislative calendar constrained and no major floor votes or bipartisan breakthroughs recorded in recent months, traders assess limited prospects for enactment before the 2027 filing season, consistent with the 83% implied probability on No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$71,073Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 established a permanent 90% cap on deductible gambling losses against winnings beginning with tax year 2026, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying to returns filed in 2027. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association continue to advocate for restoration of full deductibility through measures such as the FAIR Bet Act, yet introduced repeal bills have encountered procedural delays and failed to advance in the current Congress. With the legislative calendar constrained and no major floor votes or bipartisan breakthroughs recorded in recent months, traders assess limited prospects for enactment before the 2027 filing season, consistent with the 83% implied probability on No.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 90% cap on gambling loss deductions enacted in the 2025 "Big Beautiful Bill" is fully repealed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$71,073Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The One Big Beautiful Bill Act enacted in July 2025 established a permanent 90% cap on deductible gambling losses against winnings beginning with tax year 2026, replacing the prior 100% limit and applying to returns filed in 2027. Industry groups including the American Gaming Association continue to advocate for restoration of full deductibility through measures such as the FAIR Bet Act, yet introduced repeal bills have encountered procedural delays and failed to advance in the current Congress. With the legislative calendar constrained and no major floor votes or bipartisan breakthroughs recorded in recent months, traders assess limited prospects for enactment before the 2027 filing season, consistent with the 83% implied probability on No.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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