**China’s annual CPI inflation for 2026 is centered on the 0.6–1.0% range at 52.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 0.1–0.5% and 1.1–1.5% buckets each near 22–23%.** Year-to-date readings through August show a moderate path: monthly year-on-year rates have fluctuated between 0.5% and 1.2%, producing an average near 0.9% amid persistent food deflation (especially pork) and weak housing costs that offset energy-driven gains in transport and non-food categories. Analyst forecasts and institutional projections cluster around 0.8–1.2% for the full-year average, reflecting subdued domestic demand, limited pass-through from elevated producer prices, and policy measures such as retail fuel caps that have contained broader cost pressures. Recent monthly rebounds tied to global energy and select services have not altered the overall trajectory, keeping the balance of probabilities within the narrow central band as the year progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.6 – 1.0% 53%
1.1 – 1.5% 23%
0.1 – 0.5% 22.4%
1.6 – 2.0% 1.8%
$93,104 Обс.
$93,104 Обс.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
22%
0.6 – 1.0%
53%
1.1 – 1.5%
23%
1.6 – 2.0%
2%
2.0-2.4%
1%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 53%
1.1 – 1.5% 23%
0.1 – 0.5% 22.4%
1.6 – 2.0% 1.8%
$93,104 Обс.
$93,104 Обс.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
$20,519 Обс.
1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$4,745 Обс.
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$5,264 Обс.
1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$8,115 Обс.
22%
0.6 – 1.0%
$15,008 Обс.
53%
1.1 – 1.5%
$19,095 Обс.
23%
1.6 – 2.0%
$7,859 Обс.
2%
2.0-2.4%
$8,660 Обс.
1%
2.5%+
$3,837 Обс.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/**China’s annual CPI inflation for 2026 is centered on the 0.6–1.0% range at 52.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 0.1–0.5% and 1.1–1.5% buckets each near 22–23%.** Year-to-date readings through August show a moderate path: monthly year-on-year rates have fluctuated between 0.5% and 1.2%, producing an average near 0.9% amid persistent food deflation (especially pork) and weak housing costs that offset energy-driven gains in transport and non-food categories.
Analyst forecasts and institutional projections cluster around 0.8–1.2% for the full-year average, reflecting subdued domestic demand, limited pass-through from elevated producer prices, and policy measures such as retail fuel caps that have contained broader cost pressures. Recent monthly rebounds tied to global energy and select services have not altered the overall trajectory, keeping the balance of probabilities within the narrow central band as the year progresses.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Обсяг
$93,104Дата завершення
Jan 11, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/**China’s annual CPI inflation for 2026 is centered on the 0.6–1.0% range at 52.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 0.1–0.5% and 1.1–1.5% buckets each near 22–23%.** Year-to-date readings through August show a moderate path: monthly year-on-year rates have fluctuated between 0.5% and 1.2%, producing an average near 0.9% amid persistent food deflation (especially pork) and weak housing costs that offset energy-driven gains in transport and non-food categories.
Analyst forecasts and institutional projections cluster around 0.8–1.2% for the full-year average, reflecting subdued domestic demand, limited pass-through from elevated producer prices, and policy measures such as retail fuel caps that have contained broader cost pressures. Recent monthly rebounds tied to global energy and select services have not altered the overall trajectory, keeping the balance of probabilities within the narrow central band as the year progresses.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Обсяг
$93,104Дата завершення
Jan 11, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**China’s annual CPI inflation for 2026 is centered on the 0.6–1.0% range at 52.5% implied probability, with the adjacent 0.1–0.5% and 1.1–1.5% buckets each near 22–23%.** Year-to-date readings through August show a moderate path: monthly year-on-year rates have fluctuated between 0.5% and 1.2%, producing an average near 0.9% amid persistent food deflation (especially pork) and weak housing costs that offset energy-driven gains in transport and non-food categories. Analyst forecasts and institutional projections cluster around 0.8–1.2% for the full-year average, reflecting subdued domestic demand, limited pass-through from elevated producer prices, and policy measures such as retail fuel caps that have contained broader cost pressures. Recent monthly rebounds tied to global energy and select services have not altered the overall trajectory, keeping the balance of probabilities within the narrow central band as the year progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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