Elon Musk's tweet volume for the August 20–22 window sits in a tight race between the sub-40 and 40–64 brackets because traders see his baseline X activity hovering near the divide. Historical patterns show him averaging 15–25 posts daily on quieter weekends, yet spikes from AI discussions, Grok updates, or real-time news can push daily counts higher. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory catalysts locked in for that stretch, the market prices in moderate engagement rather than a full-volume surge. The narrow spread between the leaders underscores how sensitive the outcome remains to even one high-engagement thread or breaking story over the three days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено<40 43.6%
40-64 43%
65-89 25%
90-114 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
<40
44%
40-64
43%
65-89
25%
90-114
15%
115-139
2%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
<40 43.6%
40-64 43%
65-89 25%
90-114 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 22, 2026
<40
$91 Обс.
44%
40-64
$0 Обс.
43%
65-89
$0 Обс.
25%
90-114
$10 Обс.
15%
115-139
$10 Обс.
2%
140-164
$15 Обс.
1%
165-189
$25 Обс.
1%
190-214
$75 Обс.
1%
215-239
$35 Обс.
<1%
240+
$135 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume for the August 20–22 window sits in a tight race between the sub-40 and 40–64 brackets because traders see his baseline X activity hovering near the divide. Historical patterns show him averaging 15–25 posts daily on quieter weekends, yet spikes from AI discussions, Grok updates, or real-time news can push daily counts higher. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory catalysts locked in for that stretch, the market prices in moderate engagement rather than a full-volume surge. The narrow spread between the leaders underscores how sensitive the outcome remains to even one high-engagement thread or breaking story over the three days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$396Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's tweet volume for the August 20–22 window sits in a tight race between the sub-40 and 40–64 brackets because traders see his baseline X activity hovering near the divide. Historical patterns show him averaging 15–25 posts daily on quieter weekends, yet spikes from AI discussions, Grok updates, or real-time news can push daily counts higher. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory catalysts locked in for that stretch, the market prices in moderate engagement rather than a full-volume surge. The narrow spread between the leaders underscores how sensitive the outcome remains to even one high-engagement thread or breaking story over the three days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 20 12:00 PM ET to August 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$396Дата завершення
Aug 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 4:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's tweet volume for the August 20–22 window sits in a tight race between the sub-40 and 40–64 brackets because traders see his baseline X activity hovering near the divide. Historical patterns show him averaging 15–25 posts daily on quieter weekends, yet spikes from AI discussions, Grok updates, or real-time news can push daily counts higher. With no major Tesla, SpaceX, or regulatory catalysts locked in for that stretch, the market prices in moderate engagement rather than a full-volume surge. The narrow spread between the leaders underscores how sensitive the outcome remains to even one high-engagement thread or breaking story over the three days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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