Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 17-19 centers on the Tesla AI Day event scheduled for the 19th, which historically sparks extended threads, replies, and real-time updates from the CEO on X. Recent activity shows consistent daily output around 10-20 posts tied to AI, Tesla, and Grok developments, with no major quiet periods or external disruptions noted in the past week. The 40-64 range leads because it aligns with Musk's typical cadence during product or recruitment-focused events, while sub-40 remains a credible alternative if focus stays on non-X channels. Higher brackets above 90 carry minimal implied probability given the short window and lack of breaking crises.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 48%
<40 33%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.6%
НОВЕ
$16,347 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,347 Обс.
Aug 19, 2026
<40
33%
40-64
48%
65-89
18%
90-114
3%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 48%
<40 33%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.6%
НОВЕ
$16,347 Обс.
НОВЕ
$16,347 Обс.
Aug 19, 2026
<40
$1,827 Обс.
33%
40-64
$2,043 Обс.
48%
65-89
$506 Обс.
18%
90-114
$694 Обс.
3%
115-139
$1,297 Обс.
1%
140-164
$2,548 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$4,833 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$1,200 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$700 Обс.
<1%
240+
$700 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 17-19 centers on the Tesla AI Day event scheduled for the 19th, which historically sparks extended threads, replies, and real-time updates from the CEO on X. Recent activity shows consistent daily output around 10-20 posts tied to AI, Tesla, and Grok developments, with no major quiet periods or external disruptions noted in the past week. The 40-64 range leads because it aligns with Musk's typical cadence during product or recruitment-focused events, while sub-40 remains a credible alternative if focus stays on non-X channels. Higher brackets above 90 carry minimal implied probability given the short window and lack of breaking crises.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,347Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 17-19 centers on the Tesla AI Day event scheduled for the 19th, which historically sparks extended threads, replies, and real-time updates from the CEO on X. Recent activity shows consistent daily output around 10-20 posts tied to AI, Tesla, and Grok developments, with no major quiet periods or external disruptions noted in the past week. The 40-64 range leads because it aligns with Musk's typical cadence during product or recruitment-focused events, while sub-40 remains a credible alternative if focus stays on non-X channels. Higher brackets above 90 carry minimal implied probability given the short window and lack of breaking crises.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 17 12:00 PM ET to August 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$16,347Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 12:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk's tweet volume over August 17-19 centers on the Tesla AI Day event scheduled for the 19th, which historically sparks extended threads, replies, and real-time updates from the CEO on X. Recent activity shows consistent daily output around 10-20 posts tied to AI, Tesla, and Grok developments, with no major quiet periods or external disruptions noted in the past week. The 40-64 range leads because it aligns with Musk's typical cadence during product or recruitment-focused events, while sub-40 remains a credible alternative if focus stays on non-X channels. Higher brackets above 90 carry minimal implied probability given the short window and lack of breaking crises.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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