Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 56%
65-89 31%
<40 10%
90-114 3.7%
НОВЕ
$44,438 Обс.
НОВЕ
$44,438 Обс.
Jun 24, 2026
<40
10%
40-64
56%
65-89
31%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 31%
<40 10%
90-114 3.7%
НОВЕ
$44,438 Обс.
НОВЕ
$44,438 Обс.
Jun 24, 2026
<40
$3,856 Обс.
10%
40-64
$1,694 Обс.
56%
65-89
$2,593 Обс.
31%
90-114
$3,756 Обс.
4%
115-139
$1,701 Обс.
1%
140-164
$2,597 Обс.
<1%
165-189
$12,879 Обс.
<1%
190-214
$4,788 Обс.
<1%
215-239
$4,788 Обс.
<1%
240+
$5,788 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$44,438Дата завершення
Jun 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 22 12:00 PM ET to June 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$44,438Дата завершення
Jun 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June tracking data on Elon Musk’s X activity shows a steady daily cadence that has positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear market leader at 65.5% implied probability. Comparable short windows have produced totals in this band more often than higher or lower brackets, reflecting routine commentary on company updates and cultural topics rather than sustained spikes. The upcoming Tesla robotaxi debut targeted for June 22 in Austin and a SpaceX Starfall mission the following day stand as the main near-term catalysts that could lift volume, though traders appear to view these as incremental rather than transformative. No confirmed travel, regulatory hearings, or major announcements have emerged to signal a sharp deviation from established patterns ahead of the three-day window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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