Traders see Elon Musk’s X posting pace as the dominant driver behind the clustered probabilities around the 800-900 tweet range for May 2026, fueled by his sustained high-volume activity through mid-month amid Tesla product updates, SpaceX milestones, and xAI developments. Recent sub-period markets show daily averages settling in the mid-teens to low twenties during quieter stretches, yet spikes from viral memes, policy commentary, or launch announcements push weekly totals higher, creating the tight spread across leading buckets. Historical patterns of elevated engagement during executive-heavy periods support the current market-implied odds, while upcoming catalysts like potential Starship tests or earnings-related threads could extend momentum through month-end. The competitive dynamics hinge on whether routine business chatter sustains the elevated rhythm or yields to lower-volume intervals typical of non-event weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено840-879 11.3%
800-839 10.4%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,153,737 Обс.
$3,153,737 Обс.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
11%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
2%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.3%
800-839 10.4%
920-959 9.8%
880-919 9.4%
$3,153,737 Обс.
$3,153,737 Обс.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
11%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
2%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Джерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Elon Musk’s X posting pace as the dominant driver behind the clustered probabilities around the 800-900 tweet range for May 2026, fueled by his sustained high-volume activity through mid-month amid Tesla product updates, SpaceX milestones, and xAI developments. Recent sub-period markets show daily averages settling in the mid-teens to low twenties during quieter stretches, yet spikes from viral memes, policy commentary, or launch announcements push weekly totals higher, creating the tight spread across leading buckets. Historical patterns of elevated engagement during executive-heavy periods support the current market-implied odds, while upcoming catalysts like potential Starship tests or earnings-related threads could extend momentum through month-end. The competitive dynamics hinge on whether routine business chatter sustains the elevated rhythm or yields to lower-volume intervals typical of non-event weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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