Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in this month’s volume market, with recent weekly tallies landing between 100 and 180 posts and daily averages holding near 25–30. That steady rhythm, driven by ongoing commentary on Tesla deliveries, xAI progress, and broader tech-policy debates, has compressed probabilities across the 840–959 range, where the top three brackets sit within one percentage point of each other. Traders are differentiating outcomes by factoring in potential weekend slowdowns, scheduled product announcements, and any sudden news spikes that could push totals higher or lower by several dozen posts before month-end. The tight distribution reflects real capital assessing how consistently Musk’s platform activity will track his established pattern through the final two weeks of May.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено840-879 11.4%
880-919 11.0%
920-959 10.4%
800-839 10.1%
$3,238,894 Обс.
$3,238,894 Обс.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
3%
720-739
5%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
11%
880-919
11%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.4%
880-919 11.0%
920-959 10.4%
800-839 10.1%
$3,238,894 Обс.
$3,238,894 Обс.
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
3%
720-739
5%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
11%
880-919
11%
920-959
10%
960-999
9%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Джерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader sentiment in this month’s volume market, with recent weekly tallies landing between 100 and 180 posts and daily averages holding near 25–30. That steady rhythm, driven by ongoing commentary on Tesla deliveries, xAI progress, and broader tech-policy debates, has compressed probabilities across the 840–959 range, where the top three brackets sit within one percentage point of each other. Traders are differentiating outcomes by factoring in potential weekend slowdowns, scheduled product announcements, and any sudden news spikes that could push totals higher or lower by several dozen posts before month-end. The tight distribution reflects real capital assessing how consistently Musk’s platform activity will track his established pattern through the final two weeks of May.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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