Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено840-879 11.9%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 10.0%
880-919 9.4%
$3,150,635 Обс.
$3,150,635 Обс.
Jun 1, 2026
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
3%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
6%
760-779
5%
780-799
7%
800-839
11%
840-879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.9%
800-839 10.5%
920-959 10.0%
880-919 9.4%
$3,150,635 Обс.
$3,150,635 Обс.
Jun 1, 2026
340-359
$69,472 Обс.
<1%
360-379
$55,291 Обс.
<1%
380-399
$58,220 Обс.
<1%
400-419
$56,871 Обс.
<1%
420-439
$43,409 Обс.
<1%
440-459
$54,448 Обс.
<1%
460-479
$63,303 Обс.
<1%
480-499
$58,382 Обс.
<1%
500-519
$64,925 Обс.
<1%
520-539
$53,161 Обс.
<1%
540-559
$45,810 Обс.
1%
560-579
$43,735 Обс.
1%
580-599
$49,462 Обс.
1%
600-619
$43,146 Обс.
1%
620-639
$39,650 Обс.
1%
640-659
$44,359 Обс.
2%
660-679
$38,150 Обс.
2%
680-699
$34,878 Обс.
3%
700-719
$46,047 Обс.
4%
720-739
$48,036 Обс.
4%
740-759
$39,816 Обс.
6%
760-779
$41,038 Обс.
5%
780-799
$43,951 Обс.
7%
800-839
$46,099 Обс.
11%
840-879
$36,714 Обс.
12%
880-919
$40,160 Обс.
9%
920-959
$37,523 Обс.
10%
960-999
$35,340 Обс.
8%
1000-1039
$36,121 Обс.
5%
1040-1079
$33,379 Обс.
4%
1080-1119
$40,136 Обс.
2%
1120-1159
$50,723 Обс.
1%
1160-1199
$56,655 Обс.
<1%
1200-1239
$55,495 Обс.
<1%
1240-1279
$67,489 Обс.
<1%
1280-1319
$59,982 Обс.
<1%
1320-1359
$59,746 Обс.
<1%
1360-1399
$44,609 Обс.
<1%
1400-1439
$74,110 Обс.
<1%
1440-1479
$45,365 Обс.
<1%
1480-1519
$25,045 Обс.
<1%
1520-1559
$27,191 Обс.
<1%
1560-1599
$32,981 Обс.
<1%
1600-1679
$39,619 Обс.
<1%
1680-1759
$40,902 Обс.
<1%
1760-1839
$34,463 Обс.
<1%
1840-1919
$27,564 Обс.
<1%
1920-1999
$62,382 Обс.
<1%
2000+
$292,699 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,150,635Дата завершення
Jun 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$3,150,635Дата завершення
Jun 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see a wide spread of probabilities across several hundred-tweet brackets because Elon Musk’s monthly output on X remains highly variable and sensitive to real-time events. His posting pace often accelerates during major Tesla or SpaceX updates, regulatory developments, or political commentary, while slowing during travel or focused project periods. With roughly half of May already elapsed, the current trajectory suggests a total near the upper end of historical ranges, yet fresh announcements or controversies could easily add or subtract hundreds of posts before the month closes. This uncertainty keeps multiple adjacent ranges within a few percentage points of one another.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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