Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено100-119 49.1%
120-139 27.2%
80-99 15.2%
140-159 7.5%
$7,412,356 Обс.
$7,412,356 Обс.
May 15, 2026
80-99
15%
100-119
49%
120-139
27%
140-159
8%
160-179
2%
180-199
1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
100-119 49.1%
120-139 27.2%
80-99 15.2%
140-159 7.5%
$7,412,356 Обс.
$7,412,356 Обс.
May 15, 2026
80-99
$991,863 Обс.
15%
100-119
$356,673 Обс.
49%
120-139
$364,744 Обс.
27%
140-159
$297,904 Обс.
8%
160-179
$274,002 Обс.
2%
180-199
$226,892 Обс.
1%
200-219
$265,771 Обс.
<1%
220-239
$221,740 Обс.
<1%
240-259
$308,440 Обс.
<1%
260-279
$255,455 Обс.
<1%
280-299
$204,633 Обс.
<1%
300-319
$206,664 Обс.
<1%
320-339
$192,775 Обс.
<1%
340-359
$63,239 Обс.
<1%
360-379
$68,264 Обс.
<1%
380-399
$62,389 Обс.
<1%
400-419
$58,683 Обс.
<1%
420-439
$118,926 Обс.
<1%
440-459
$91,560 Обс.
<1%
460-479
$117,006 Обс.
<1%
480-499
$86,800 Обс.
<1%
500+
$183,686 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,412,356Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 8 12:00 PM ET to May 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$7,412,356Дата завершення
May 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 5, 2026, 12:02 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the 100-119 tweet range at 48.4% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from May 8-15, reflecting his recent daily average of around 23 posts as tracked for the May 11-13 window, with 48 posts already logged at 57% progress into the full period. A quieter start gave way to a May 13 surge—featuring viral "True" endorsements on Oscars DEI criteria, Haitian genocide history, and Dominican Republic's Haitian deportations—despite reports of Musk traveling to China, where Starlink enabled nonstop posting and defied earlier low-volume bets. With two days left, no major catalysts like product launches signal a mega-spree, keeping 120-139 at 29.4% while higher bins fade amid his variable cultural and political engagement patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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