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icon for Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

icon for Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

May 15

May 15

22% шанс
Polymarket

$745,037 Обс.

22% шанс
Polymarket

$745,037 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$745,037
Дата завершення
May 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Trader consensus favors no confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 15 at 77.5% implied probability, reflecting CDC surveillance data showing no laboratory-confirmed infections reported domestically in 2026 to date despite routine annual incidence of 20–40 cases, mostly Sin Nombre virus from rodent exposure in western states. A multi-country Andes virus (ANDV) cluster linked to the MV Hondius cruise ship, reported May 2 with eight cases (six confirmed) and three deaths as of May 8 per WHO, prompted monitoring of exposed US passengers across 16 states; however, preliminary tests like one in Illinois returned negative, and CDC assesses public risk as extremely low given no person-to-person spread for US strains. Resolution hinges on official public health notifications in the next 48 hours.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$745,038
Дата завершення
May 15, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 7, 2026, 12:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Hantavirus in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed hantavirus infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 22% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 22¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 22%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?» згенерував $745K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 7, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?» — 22% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 22% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.