Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 29°C at King's Park, the primary reference station for such records, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with mid-May climatological norms in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, where daily highs typically range 28–31°C amid warming sea surface temperatures and light southerly winds. Authoritative data from automated sensors and quality-controlled summaries underpin the positioning, reflecting minimal uncertainty post-event. Realistic challenges, such as rare data revisions from instrument recalibrations or station-specific anomalies, remain highly improbable given standard verification protocols. Next daily summary expected May 15.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 14?
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$330,201 Обс.
$330,201 Обс.
May 14, 2026
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$330,201 Обс.
$330,201 Обс.
May 14, 2026
21°C or below
$3,621 Обс.
No
22°C
$2,675 Обс.
No
23°C
$5,580 Обс.
No
24°C
$5,298 Обс.
No
25°C
$7,131 Обс.
No
26°C
$33,172 Обс.
No
27°C
$34,023 Обс.
No
28°C
$78,510 Обс.
No
29°C
$69,090 Обс.
Yes
30°C
$62,661 Обс.
No
31°C or higher
$28,439 Обс.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 29°C at King's Park, the primary reference station for such records, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with mid-May climatological norms in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, where daily highs typically range 28–31°C amid warming sea surface temperatures and light southerly winds. Authoritative data from automated sensors and quality-controlled summaries underpin the positioning, reflecting minimal uncertainty post-event. Realistic challenges, such as rare data revisions from instrument recalibrations or station-specific anomalies, remain highly improbable given standard verification protocols. Next daily summary expected May 15.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Обсяг
$330,201Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 29°C at King's Park, the primary reference station for such records, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with mid-May climatological norms in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, where daily highs typically range 28–31°C amid warming sea surface temperatures and light southerly winds. Authoritative data from automated sensors and quality-controlled summaries underpin the positioning, reflecting minimal uncertainty post-event. Realistic challenges, such as rare data revisions from instrument recalibrations or station-specific anomalies, remain highly improbable given standard verification protocols. Next daily summary expected May 15.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$330,201Дата завершення
May 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official observations confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached 29°C at King's Park, the primary reference station for such records, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. This measurement aligns with mid-May climatological norms in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, where daily highs typically range 28–31°C amid warming sea surface temperatures and light southerly winds. Authoritative data from automated sensors and quality-controlled summaries underpin the positioning, reflecting minimal uncertainty post-event. Realistic challenges, such as rare data revisions from instrument recalibrations or station-specific anomalies, remain highly improbable given standard verification protocols. Next daily summary expected May 15.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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