Recent model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles places the May 17 daytime maximum near 25–26 °C under moderate southerly flow and dew points in the low 20s. Variable afternoon cloud cover and light winds are the main variables that could limit or enhance surface heating, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered between those two values. Historical May climatology shows typical highs near 29 °C, yet the current subtropical high-pressure setup and modest moisture support cooler outcomes this time. The next official forecast update and real-time station observations will narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 17?
25°C 44%
26°C 34%
27°C 14%
24°C 10.9%
$28,866 Обс.
$28,866 Обс.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
11%
25°C
44%
26°C
34%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
25°C 44%
26°C 34%
27°C 14%
24°C 10.9%
$28,866 Обс.
$28,866 Обс.
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
11%
25°C
44%
26°C
34%
27°C
14%
28°C
3%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles places the May 17 daytime maximum near 25–26 °C under moderate southerly flow and dew points in the low 20s. Variable afternoon cloud cover and light winds are the main variables that could limit or enhance surface heating, keeping the highest temperature tightly clustered between those two values. Historical May climatology shows typical highs near 29 °C, yet the current subtropical high-pressure setup and modest moisture support cooler outcomes this time. The next official forecast update and real-time station observations will narrow remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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