Recent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight substantial uncertainty in Seoul’s overnight minimum for May 20, with model spreads favoring either mild conditions above 22 °C or a cooler plunge to 12 °C or below as the leading market outcomes. Springtime frontal systems and variable moisture transport across the Korean Peninsula routinely produce 5–8 °C day-to-day swings in low temperatures, consistent with historical May variability around the 13 °C climatological average. Upcoming 48-hour model updates from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine this range as the date nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 20?
22°C or higher 48%
12°C or below 37%
17°C 22%
16°C 20%
12°C or below
37%
13°C
5%
14°C
8%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
22%
18°C
20%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
48%
22°C or higher 48%
12°C or below 37%
17°C 22%
16°C 20%
12°C or below
37%
13°C
5%
14°C
8%
15°C
19%
16°C
20%
17°C
22%
18°C
20%
19°C
8%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight substantial uncertainty in Seoul’s overnight minimum for May 20, with model spreads favoring either mild conditions above 22 °C or a cooler plunge to 12 °C or below as the leading market outcomes. Springtime frontal systems and variable moisture transport across the Korean Peninsula routinely produce 5–8 °C day-to-day swings in low temperatures, consistent with historical May variability around the 13 °C climatological average. Upcoming 48-hour model updates from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts will likely refine this range as the date nears.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання