Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project a minimum temperature near 16°C for the Seoul region on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light winds, with nearby Incheon models aligning at 15–16°C maximums of 24°C—driving trader consensus to 15°C at 28% implied probability amid a fragmented distribution reflecting high short-term uncertainty. Recent warm days (highs near 27°C on May 15) limit deep nocturnal radiative cooling, but potential overnight cloud development from afternoon buildup could trap heat and push lows toward 17°C (5.5%), while fuller clear skies and calm conditions favor sharper drops to 14°C (17.5%) or 13°C (16.5%). Climatological May mid-month lows average 14°C, with key variables including boundary layer decoupling, soil moisture residuals, and model ensemble spread; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
15°C 28%
14°C 18%
13°C 14%
16°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
7%
13°C
17%
14°C
18%
15°C
28%
16°C
10%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
15°C 28%
14°C 18%
13°C 14%
16°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 17, 2026
12°C or below
$228 Обс.
7%
13°C
$113 Обс.
17%
14°C
$0 Обс.
18%
15°C
$31 Обс.
28%
16°C
$35 Обс.
10%
17°C
$71 Обс.
5%
18°C
$1,162 Обс.
1%
19°C
$1,309 Обс.
1%
20°C
$1,411 Обс.
1%
21°C
$296 Обс.
<1%
22°C or higher
$88 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project a minimum temperature near 16°C for the Seoul region on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light winds, with nearby Incheon models aligning at 15–16°C maximums of 24°C—driving trader consensus to 15°C at 28% implied probability amid a fragmented distribution reflecting high short-term uncertainty. Recent warm days (highs near 27°C on May 15) limit deep nocturnal radiative cooling, but potential overnight cloud development from afternoon buildup could trap heat and push lows toward 17°C (5.5%), while fuller clear skies and calm conditions favor sharper drops to 14°C (17.5%) or 13°C (16.5%). Climatological May mid-month lows average 14°C, with key variables including boundary layer decoupling, soil moisture residuals, and model ensemble spread; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,745Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project a minimum temperature near 16°C for the Seoul region on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light winds, with nearby Incheon models aligning at 15–16°C maximums of 24°C—driving trader consensus to 15°C at 28% implied probability amid a fragmented distribution reflecting high short-term uncertainty. Recent warm days (highs near 27°C on May 15) limit deep nocturnal radiative cooling, but potential overnight cloud development from afternoon buildup could trap heat and push lows toward 17°C (5.5%), while fuller clear skies and calm conditions favor sharper drops to 14°C (17.5%) or 13°C (16.5%). Climatological May mid-month lows average 14°C, with key variables including boundary layer decoupling, soil moisture residuals, and model ensemble spread; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$4,745Дата завершення
May 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 12:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIKorea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts project a minimum temperature near 16°C for the Seoul region on May 17 under mostly clear skies and light winds, with nearby Incheon models aligning at 15–16°C maximums of 24°C—driving trader consensus to 15°C at 28% implied probability amid a fragmented distribution reflecting high short-term uncertainty. Recent warm days (highs near 27°C on May 15) limit deep nocturnal radiative cooling, but potential overnight cloud development from afternoon buildup could trap heat and push lows toward 17°C (5.5%), while fuller clear skies and calm conditions favor sharper drops to 14°C (17.5%) or 13°C (16.5%). Climatological May mid-month lows average 14°C, with key variables including boundary layer decoupling, soil moisture residuals, and model ensemble spread; watch KMA's twice-daily updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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