Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on May 19 will most likely settle between 8°C and 11°C, driven by a moderate cool air mass advecting across northern France under variable cloud cover that restricts radiational cooling. This range aligns with mid-May climatology near 9–10°C while incorporating the current northerly flow pattern suppressing daytime warming and keeping surface temperatures from rebounding fully overnight. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering across these buckets against model spread, which could shift with the next high-resolution runs and Météo-France updates expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on May 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 19?
10°C 24%
8°C 19%
11°C 19%
9°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
4%
7°C
6%
8°C
19%
9°C
14%
10°C
24%
11°C
19%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
4%
15°C or higher
1%
10°C 24%
8°C 19%
11°C 19%
9°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 19, 2026
5°C or below
$10 Обс.
<1%
6°C
$42 Обс.
4%
7°C
$20 Обс.
6%
8°C
$0 Обс.
19%
9°C
$0 Обс.
14%
10°C
$6 Обс.
24%
11°C
$0 Обс.
19%
12°C
$0 Обс.
9%
13°C
$9 Обс.
5%
14°C
$10 Обс.
4%
15°C or higher
$91 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on May 19 will most likely settle between 8°C and 11°C, driven by a moderate cool air mass advecting across northern France under variable cloud cover that restricts radiational cooling. This range aligns with mid-May climatology near 9–10°C while incorporating the current northerly flow pattern suppressing daytime warming and keeping surface temperatures from rebounding fully overnight. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering across these buckets against model spread, which could shift with the next high-resolution runs and Météo-France updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$189Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on May 19 will most likely settle between 8°C and 11°C, driven by a moderate cool air mass advecting across northern France under variable cloud cover that restricts radiational cooling. This range aligns with mid-May climatology near 9–10°C while incorporating the current northerly flow pattern suppressing daytime warming and keeping surface temperatures from rebounding fully overnight. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering across these buckets against model spread, which could shift with the next high-resolution runs and Météo-France updates expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$189Дата завершення
May 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate Paris overnight lows on May 19 will most likely settle between 8°C and 11°C, driven by a moderate cool air mass advecting across northern France under variable cloud cover that restricts radiational cooling. This range aligns with mid-May climatology near 9–10°C while incorporating the current northerly flow pattern suppressing daytime warming and keeping surface temperatures from rebounding fully overnight. Traders appear to weigh the tight clustering across these buckets against model spread, which could shift with the next high-resolution runs and Météo-France updates expected before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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